Republican Glenn Youngkin has been elected as Virginia’s next governor in a major upset, according to US media projections.
He was 2.1 points ahead of Democrat Terry McAuliffe, with 99% of votes counted.
Mr McAuliffe, who served as governor from 2014-18, saw his opinion poll lead vanish in recent weeks.
The ballot has been widely seen as a referendum on Joe Biden’s presidency, and defeat will unnerve the Democrats.
Mr Biden won by 10 points in Virginia in the presidential election just a year ago.
In a speech to cheering fans, Mr Youngkin promised to get to work straight away to transform the state.
“We work in real people time, not government time,” the Republican declared.
The state’s current, Democratic governor, Ralph Northam, was unable to stand for re-election as Virginia does not allow governors to serve consecutive terms in office.
In more potential good news for Republicans in the state, their candidate, former US Marine Winsome Sears, is tipped to become the first black female lieutenant governor of the state, which was the former seat of the pro-slavery Confederacy during the American Civil War.
The Republican candidate for Virginia attorney general, Cuban American Jason Miyares, was also leading that vote count. And Republicans seemed to be closing in on control of the state’s House of Delegates.
In other elections across the US on Tuesday:
- Republican challenger Jack Ciattarelli had a narrow lead over New Jersey’s Democratic Governor Phil Murphy, with 88% of votes reported
- Amid surging crime, Minneapolis voters rejected a proposal to replace the city’s police department with a new Department of Public Safety, more than a year after the murder of George Floyd by an officer
- As expected, Democrat Eric Adams won New York City’s mayoral election to replace his party colleague Bill de Blasio; Republican challenger Curtis Sliwa was involved in an argument at his polling station after turning up to vote with a pet cat and being told his furry friend Gizmo could not enter
- Pittsburgh picked its first black mayor, Democrat Ed Gainey
In Boston, Asian-American candidate Michelle Wu was elected mayor, becoming the first woman and first person of colour to take the post.
“One of my sons asked me the other night if boys can be elected mayor of Boston,” the Democrat told supporters. “They have been, and they will again someday, but not tonight.”
How did a Republican win in Virginia?
Mr Youngkin is the first member of his party elected to statewide office in Virginia since 2009.
The political newcomer focused during the bitterly fought election on crime and the economy, as well as how schools handle race, gender and mask mandates.
Mr McAuliffe campaigned on other cultural issues, such as abortion rights and voting reform.
But the Democrat’s critics hammered him for saying during a debate: “I don’t think parents should be telling schools what they should teach.”
According to exit polls by the BBC’s US partner, CBS, education and the school curriculum were top issues for slightly more than half of all voters.
At a news conference earlier on Tuesday, Mr Biden predicted his party would win the first major election since he took office 10 months ago, but he acknowledged “the off-year is always unpredictable”.
Mr Biden’s popularity has been sliding amid rising inflation, a slow economic recovery, a deadlocked legislative agenda and the aftermath of a disorderly US withdrawal from Afghanistan.
How Virginia’s governor race explains US politics
The Democratic president’s approval rating has fallen to 43%, according to an opinion poll average by RealClearPolitics.
The McAuliffe campaign tried to liken the challenger to former President Donald Trump, who remains unpopular in Virginia.
But Mr Youngkin, a mild-mannered private equity tycoon, sought to appeal to moderates by keeping Mr Trump at arm’s length, while tapping into the former president’s supporters in the state.
His balancing act may offer a template for Republicans seeking to win back suburban moderate voters who were turned off by Mr Trump’s firebrand style of politics.
The race could shape party messaging and battle-plans for next year’s mid-term elections, when the Democrats will defend their wafer-thin majorities in Congress, and the 2024 White House election.
Mr Trump thanked his supporters for “coming out in force and voting for Glenn Youngkin”, saying the MAGA movement was “bigger and stronger than ever before”.